NOAA/USAF Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 6 August 2000

:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2000 Aug 06 2200 UT
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
#Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 219 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 06 AUG 2000
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  05/2100Z
TO 06/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. SEVERAL LOW C-CLASS EVENTS
OCCURRED WITH MOST FROM REGION 9114 (N12E28). TWO NEW REGIONS WERE
NUMBERED TODAY AS REGION 9120 (S22E24) AND 9121 (S35E27).
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY 05/2100Z TO 06/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS AT UNSETTLED TO MINOR STORM LEVELS.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE FORECAST PERIOD.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 07 AUG-09 AUG
CLASS M    25/30/30
CLASS X    01/01/05
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           06 AUG 166
PREDICTED   07 AUG-09 AUG  170/175/180
90 DAY MEAN        06 AUG 191
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 05 AUG  019/026
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 06 AUG  020/020
PREDICTED AFR/AP 07 AUG-09 AUG  010/015-010/012-010/010
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 07 AUG-09 AUG
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                30/30/30
MINOR STORM           10/10/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                35/35/30
MINOR STORM           15/15/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    05/01/01