NOAA SEC Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 6 Jul 2001

:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2001 Jul 06 2200 UT
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
#Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 187 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Jul 2001
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  05/2100Z
to 06/2100Z:  Solar activity has been very low.  A 9 degree filament
disappeared at N34W01 between 05/1800 UTC and 06/1120 UTC.  A new
region was numbered today as Region 9530 (S19W25).
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled for the next three days.
III.  Event Probabilities 07 Jul-09 Jul
Class M    10/10/20
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           06 Jul 116
Predicted   07 Jul-09 Jul  115/120/125
90 Day Mean        06 Jul 160
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 05 Jul  010/013
Estimated Afr/Ap 06 Jul  008/009
Predicted Afr/Ap 07 Jul-09 Jul  008/008-008/008-008/008
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Jul-09 Jul
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                15/15/15
Minor storm           05/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                20/20/20
Minor storm           05/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01