NOAA SEC Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 30 May 2001
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2001 May 30 2200 UT
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
#Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 150 Issued at 2200Z on 30 May 2001
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 29/2100Z
to 30/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. Region 9475 (N19E19) grew
in area and spot count, but lost the weak delta configuration which
was visible yesterday. A new region was numbered today as Region
9482 (S16E48).
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low.
Occasional C-class flares are possible.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 29/2100Z to 30/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III. Event Probabilities 31 May-02 Jun
Class M 20/20/20
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 30 May 132
Predicted 31 May-02 Jun 130/130/130
90 Day Mean 30 May 151
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 29 May 009/010
Estimated Afr/Ap 30 May 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 31 May-02 Jun 008/008-008/010-008/012
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 31 May-02 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor storm 05/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/20/25
Minor storm 05/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01