Status Report

NOAA SEC Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 3 Jul 2001

By SpaceRef Editor
July 3, 2001
Filed under , ,
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2001 Jul 03 2200 UT
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
#Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 184 Issued at 2200Z on 03 Jul 2001
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  02/2100Z
to 03/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. The only flare report
received in the past day was a B7/Sf flare at 03/0739 UTC in Region
9525 (N20E34). Region 9529 (N07E72) was numbered.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III.  Event Probabilities 04 Jul-06 Jul
Class M    10/10/10
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           03 Jul 132
Predicted   04 Jul-06 Jul  130/135/140
90 Day Mean        03 Jul 163
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 02 Jul  004/008
Estimated Afr/Ap 03 Jul  008/010
Predicted Afr/Ap 04 Jul-06 Jul  010/015-010/012-010/010
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 Jul-06 Jul
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                15/15/15
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                25/25/25
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01

SpaceRef staff editor.