NOAA SEC Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2 Jul 2001

:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2001 Jul 02 2200 UT
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
#Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 183 Issued at 2200Z on 02 Jul 2001
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  01/2100Z
to 02/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred and all
sunspot groups presently on the visible disk are small and
magnetically simple. New Region 9528 (N04E59) was numbered.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 01/2100Z to 02/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III.  Event Probabilities 03 Jul-05 Jul
Class M    10/10/10
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           02 Jul 134
Predicted   03 Jul-05 Jul  135/140/145
90 Day Mean        02 Jul 164
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 01 Jul  008/012
Estimated Afr/Ap 02 Jul  005/009
Predicted Afr/Ap 03 Jul-05 Jul  010/010-010/012-010/010
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Jul-05 Jul
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                15/15/15
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                20/20/20
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01