NOAA SEC Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2 Dec 2000

:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2000 Dec 02 2200 UT
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
#Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 337 Issued at 2200Z on 02 Dec 2000
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  01/2100Z
to 02/2100Z:  Solar activity was low. Little of significance occurred
as the regions on the disk were either stable or in decay. Region
9246 (S12W08) is the brightest of the nine spotted regions.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to continue
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 01/2100Z to 02/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled throughout the period.
III.  Event Probabilities 03 Dec-05 Dec
Class M    10/10/10
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           02 Dec 167
Predicted   03 Dec-05 Dec  165/160/155
90 Day Mean        02 Dec 177
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 01 Dec  003/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 02 Dec  003/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 03 Dec-05 Dec  005/008-005/008-010/010
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Dec-05 Dec
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/10/20
Minor storm           05/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                20/20/25
Minor storm           05/05/10
Major-severe storm    01/01/01