NOAA SEC Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1 June 2001

:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2001 Jun 01 2200 UT
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
#Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 152 Issued at 2200Z on 01 Jun 2001
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  31/2100Z
to 01/2100Z:  Solar activity has been low.  Three new regions were
numbered today as Region 9483 (S22W59), 9484 (S08E36), and 9485
(S23E75).
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 31/2100Z to 01/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled.  Isolated active conditions are
possible through the three day period due to a favorably positioned
coronal hole.
III.  Event Probabilities 02 Jun-04 Jun
Class M    20/20/20
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           01 Jun 133
Predicted   02 Jun-04 Jun  130/125/125
90 Day Mean        01 Jun 169
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 31 May  004/007
Estimated Afr/Ap 01 Jun  008/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 02 Jun-04 Jun  008/010-010/012-010/012
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 02 Jun-04 Jun
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                15/20/20
Minor storm           05/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                20/25/25
Minor storm           05/10/10
Major-severe storm    01/01/01