Status Report

NOAA SEC 3-day Space Weather Predictions 26 Nov 2000

By SpaceRef Editor
November 26, 2000
Filed under ,
:Product:  3-day Space Weather Predictions
:Issued: 2000 Nov 26 2210 UT
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept of Commerce, NOAA, Space Environment Center
# For a descriptive text, write to SEC or refer to our Web page.
# URL: http://www.sec.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
#             Three-day Space Weather Predictions
#
:Prediction_dates:   2000 Nov 27   2000 Nov 28   2000 Nov 29
:Geomagnetic_A_indices:
A_Fredericksburg         50            30            20
A_Planetary              60            45            25
#
# Predicted 3-hour Middle latitude k-indices
:Pred_Mid_k:
Mid/00-03UT               6             5             4
Mid/03-06UT               6             4             4
Mid/06-09UT               6             4             4
Mid/09-12UT               4             4             4
Mid/12-15UT               5             4             4
Mid/15-18UT               4             4             1
Mid/18-21UT               4             4             1
Mid/21-00UT               4             4             3
#
# Predicted 3-hour High latitude k-indices:
:Pred_High_k:
High/00-03UT              3             4             2
High/03-06UT              3             3             2
High/06-09UT              6             3             3
High/09-12UT              8             6             6
High/12-15UT              5             6             3
High/15-18UT              5             6             3
High/18-21UT              3             3             3
High/21-00UT              3             2             1
#
# Probability of Geomagnetic conditions at Middle Latitude
:Prob_Mid:
Mid/Active                5            20            40
Mid/Minor_Storm          40            20            10
Mid/Major-Severe_Storm   50            30             5
#
# Probability of Geomagnetic conditions at High Latitudes
:Prob_High:
High/Active              10            20            50
High/Minor_Storm         30            40            10
High/Major-Severe_Storm  60            35             5
#
# Polar Cap Absorption Forecast
:Polar_cap:
                      in progres#
# Solar
:10cm_flux:
                        205           205           200
#
:Whole_Disk_Flare_Prob:
Class_M                  80            70            60
Class_X                  60            50            40
Proton                   99            75            50
#
# Region Flare Probabilities for 2000 Nov 27
# Region     Class C      M             X             P
:Reg_Prob: 2000 Nov 26
  9232          1         1             1             1
  9233          1         1             1             1
  9235         10         1             1             1
  9236         99        80            60            75
  9238          1         1             1             1
  9239         10         1             1             1
  9240         40        30             1             1
  9241          1         1             1             1
  9242          1         1             1             1

SpaceRef staff editor.