Status Report

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 9 June 2010

By SpaceRef Editor
June 9, 2010
Filed under , , ,

:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Jun 09 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 160 Issued at 2200Z on 09 Jun 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 08/2100Z
to 09/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. Region 1078 (S21W60) has
grown in size and magnetic complexity over the past 24 hours.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low with a chance for a C-class event from Region 1078 during
the next 3 days (10-12 June).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 08/2100Z to 09/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet for the past 24 hours. The greater
than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels
during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
forecast to be mostly quiet with a chance for an isolated period of
unsettled conditions during the next 3 days (10-12 June).
III. Event Probabilities 10 Jun-12 Jun
Class M 10/10/10
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 09 Jun 072
Predicted 10 Jun-12 Jun 072/072/070
90 Day Mean 09 Jun 077
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 08 Jun 003/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 09 Jun 003/003
Predicted Afr/Ap 10 Jun-12 Jun 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 10 Jun-12 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 25/25/25
Minor storm 05/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 30/30/30
Minor storm 10/10/10
Major-severe storm 01/01/01

SpaceRef staff editor.