Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 7 October 2010

:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Oct 07 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 280 Issued at 2200Z on 07 Oct 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 06/2100Z
to 07/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. The visible disk was
spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low for the next three days (08 – 10 October).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 06/2100Z to 07/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet for the next three days (08 – 10
October).
III. Event Probabilities 08 Oct-10 Oct
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 07 Oct 075
Predicted 08 Oct-10 Oct 076/078/078
90 Day Mean 07 Oct 081
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 06 Oct 005/008
Estimated Afr/Ap 07 Oct 005/006
Predicted Afr/Ap 08 Oct-10 Oct 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 Oct-10 Oct
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/15
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/20
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01