Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 6 Oct 2009

:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2009 Oct 06 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 279 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Oct 2009
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05/2100Z
to 06/2100Z: Solar activity was very low.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain
very low for the next three days (7-9 October).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain at quiet levels for the next three days (7-9
October).
III. Event Probabilities 07 Oct-09 Oct
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 06 Oct 069
Predicted 07 Oct-09 Oct 069/069/069
90 Day Mean 06 Oct 069
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 05 Oct 002/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 06 Oct 002/002
Predicted Afr/Ap 07 Oct-09 Oct 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Oct-09 Oct
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01