Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 4 November 2010

:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Nov 04 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 308 Issued at 2200Z on 04 Nov 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 03/2100Z
to 04/2100Z: Solar activity was low. New Region 1121 (S20E70) was
numbered today and produced a C1 flare at 04/0253Z. Region 1120
(N38E04) continued to decay.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low
with a slight chance of moderate conditions for the next three days
(05-07 November).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 03/2100Z to 04/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels. A period of
unsettled conditions was observed at mid-latitudes between
04/12-15Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet for the next three days (05-07
November).
III. Event Probabilities 05 Nov-07 Nov
Class M 15/15/15
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 04 Nov 079
Predicted 05 Nov-07 Nov 082/082/082
90 Day Mean 04 Nov 081
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 03 Nov 002/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 04 Nov 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 05 Nov-07 Nov 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 05 Nov-07 Nov
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01