Status Report

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 31 August 2010

By SpaceRef Editor
August 31, 2010
Filed under , , ,

:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Aug 31 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 243 Issued at 2200Z on 31 Aug 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 30/2100Z
to 31/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past
24 hours. Region 1101 (N12W19) and Region 1102 (N28W40) both
remained stable and quiet. No flares were observed on the visible
disk. No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be at
very low levels for the next three days (01-03 September).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 30/2100Z to 31/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at
high levels throughout the period.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet levels for the next three days (01-03
September).
III. Event Probabilities 01 Sep-03 Sep
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 31 Aug 075
Predicted 01 Sep-03 Sep 076/076/076
90 Day Mean 31 Aug 077
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 30 Aug 000/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 31 Aug 000/004
Predicted Afr/Ap 01 Sep-03 Sep 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 01 Sep-03 Sep
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01

SpaceRef staff editor.