Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 30 Jan 2010

:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Jan 30 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 030 Issued at 2200Z on 30 Jan 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 29/2100Z
to 30/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. Region 1041 (S27W58)
continues its decay. Early observations reported the region with a
single spot visible. New Region 1043 (N27E35) was numbered today.
No significant flares were observed during the past 24 hours.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 29/2100Z to 30/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominantly quiet for the next three days (31
January – 02 February).
III. Event Probabilities 31 Jan-02 Feb
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 30 Jan 075
Predicted 31 Jan-02 Feb 075/076/078
90 Day Mean 30 Jan 077
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 29 Jan 000/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 30 Jan 001/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 31 Jan-02 Feb 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 31 Jan-02 Feb
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01