Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 29 Oct 2009

:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2009 Oct 29 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 302 Issued at 2200Z on 29 Oct 2009
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 28/2100Z
to 29/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. Region 1029 (N17W71)
produced several B-class flares during the past 24 hours.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 28/2100Z to 29/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity was mostly quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be quiet for the next three days (30 October – 01
November).
III. Event Probabilities 30 Oct-01 Nov
Class M 05/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 29 Oct 077
Predicted 30 Oct-01 Nov 078/075/075
90 Day Mean 29 Oct 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 28 Oct 003/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 29 Oct 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 30 Oct-01 Nov 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 30 Oct-01 Nov
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01