Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 29 Jan 2010

:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Jan 29 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 029 Issued at 2200Z on 29 Jan 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 28/2100Z
to 29/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. Region 1041 (S27W42)
remains stable and continues to show signs of decay. No flares were
observed during the past 24 hours.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low with a very slight chance for an isolated C-class event.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 28/2100Z to 29/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for the next three days (30 January – 01
February).
III. Event Probabilities 30 Jan-01 Feb
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 29 Jan 073
Predicted 30 Jan-01 Feb 073/074/076
90 Day Mean 29 Jan 077
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 28 Jan 002/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 29 Jan 001/002
Predicted Afr/Ap 30 Jan-01 Feb 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 30 Jan-01 Feb
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01