Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 28 Nov 2007

Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Issued: 2007 Nov 28 2200 UTC
Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 332 Issued at 2200Z on 28 Nov 2007

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 27/2100Z to 28/2100Z: Solar activity was at very low levels.

IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain at very low levels.

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 27/2100Z to 28/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was at mostly quiet levels. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels.

IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to remain at quiet levels for the next three days (29 November – 01 December).

III. Event Probabilities 29 Nov-01 Dec

• Class M 01/01/01
• Class X 01/01/01
• Proton 01/01/01
• PCAF green

IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

• Observed 28 Nov 071
• Predicted 29 Nov-01 Dec 070/068/068
• 90 Day Mean 28 Nov 068

V. Geomagnetic A Indices

• Observed Afr/Ap 27 Nov 005/004
• Estimated Afr/Ap 28 Nov 003/005
• Predicted Afr/Ap 29 Nov-01 Dec 005/005-005/005-005/005

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 29 Nov-01 Dec

A. Middle Latitudes

• Active 05/05/05
• Minor storm 01/01/01
• Major-severe storm 01/01/01

B. High Latitudes

• Active 10/10/10
• Minor storm 05/05/05
• Major-severe storm 01/01/01