Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 26 Jun 2009

:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2009 Jun 26 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 177 Issued at 2200Z on 26 Jun 2009
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 25/2100Z
to 26/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred during
the past 24 hours. The solar disk was void of spots.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 25/2100Z to 26/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for the first day (27 June). An increase to
unsettled levels with a chance for active periods is expected on the
second day (28 June) due to a favorably positioned coronal hole.
Conditions are expected to be quiet on the third day (29 June).
III. Event Probabilities 27 Jun-29 Jun
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 26 Jun 067
Predicted 27 Jun-29 Jun 067/067/067
90 Day Mean 26 Jun 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 25 Jun 006/007
Estimated Afr/Ap 26 Jun 003/004
Predicted Afr/Ap 27 Jun-29 Jun 005/005-008/010-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 27 Jun-29 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/25/05
Minor storm 01/05/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 05/30/05
Minor storm 01/15/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01