Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 25 January 2010

:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Jan 25 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 025 Issued at 2200Z on 25 Jan 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 24/2100Z
to 25/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred during
the past 24 hours. Region 1041 (S23E13) showed a slight increase in
the number of spots. Region 1042 (N18W71) was quiet and stable,
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is generally expected
to be very low. There is a chance for an isolated C-class event
during the next three days (26-28 January) from either Region 1041
or 1042.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 24/2100Z to 25/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for the next three days (25-28 January).
III. Event Probabilities 26 Jan-28 Jan
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 25 Jan 081
Predicted 26 Jan-28 Jan 080/080/078
90 Day Mean 25 Jan 077
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 24 Jan 002/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 25 Jan 005/004
Predicted Afr/Ap 26 Jan-28 Jan 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 26 Jan-28 Jan
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01