Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 24 June 2012

:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2012 Jun 24 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 176 Issued at 2200Z on 24 Jun 2012
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 23/2100Z
to 24/2100Z: Solar activity was very low.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 23/2100Z to 24/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet levels. The greater than 2
MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during
the period.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: Geomagnetic activity is
expected to be mostly quiet during the period (25 – 27 June).
III. Event Probabilities 25 Jun-27 Jun
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 24 Jun 085
Predicted 25 Jun-27 Jun 085/085/090
90 Day Mean 24 Jun 119
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 23 Jun 004/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 24 Jun 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 25 Jun-27 Jun 005/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 25 Jun-27 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor storm 10/10/10
Major-severe storm 05/05/05