Status Report

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 22 December 2010

By SpaceRef Editor
December 22, 2010
Filed under , , ,

:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Dec 22 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 356 Issued at 2200Z on 22 Dec 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 21/2100Z
to 22/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred during
the past 24 hours.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain
very low for the next three days (23-25 December).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 21/2100Z to 22/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet on days one and two (23-24 December) and quiet
to unsettled on day three (25 December).
III. Event Probabilities 23 Dec-25 Dec
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 22 Dec 078
Predicted 23 Dec-25 Dec 078/078/078
90 Day Mean 22 Dec 083
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 21 Dec 001/001
Estimated Afr/Ap 22 Dec 001/002
Predicted Afr/Ap 23 Dec-25 Dec 005/005-005/005-007/007
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 23 Dec-25 Dec
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/10
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 05/05/15
Minor storm 01/01/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01

SpaceRef staff editor.