Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 21 November 2010

:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Nov 21 0630 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
:::::::::: CORRECTED COPY ::::::::::
SDF Number 324 Issued at 2200Z on 20 Nov 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 19/2100Z
to 20/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be at
very low levels for the next three days (21-23 November).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 19/2100Z to 20/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached
high levels during the period.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet levels for the next three days (21-23
November).
III. Event Probabilities 21 Nov-23 Nov
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 20 Nov 080
Predicted 21 Nov-23 Nov 079/079/079
90 Day Mean 20 Nov 081
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 19 Nov 002/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 20 Nov 002/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 21 Nov-23 Nov 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 21 Nov-23 Nov
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/15/15
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/15/15
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01