Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 21 December 2010

:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Dec 21 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 355 Issued at 2200Z on 21 Dec 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 20/2100Z
to 21/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. The visible disk remained
spotless. A filament eruption was observed at approximately
21/0236Z. An associated CME was subsequently observed off the
Northeast limb in the LASCO C2 Coronagraph imagery at 21/0248Z.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low for the next three days (22-24 December).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 20/2100Z to 21/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for the next three days (22-24 December).
III. Event Probabilities 22 Dec-24 Dec
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 21 Dec 078
Predicted 22 Dec-24 Dec 078/076/078
90 Day Mean 21 Dec 083
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 20 Dec 006/008
Estimated Afr/Ap 21 Dec 002/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 22 Dec-24 Dec 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 22 Dec-24 Dec
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01