Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 2 November 2010

:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Nov 02 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 306 Issued at 2200Z on 02 Nov 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 01/2100Z
to 02/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. Region 1120 (N38E31) has
shown slight decay during the period and is the only spotted region
on the visible disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low on days one and two (03-04 November). Activity is expected to be
very low to low on day three (05 November) as old region 1112 (S19,
L=208) returns to the visible disk.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 01/2100Z to 02/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet for the next three days (03-05
November).
III. Event Probabilities 03 Nov-05 Nov
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 02 Nov 079
Predicted 03 Nov-05 Nov 078/078/080
90 Day Mean 02 Nov 081
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 01 Nov 002/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 02 Nov 005/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 03 Nov-05 Nov 005/005-007/007-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Nov-05 Nov
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/15/10
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/15/10
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01