Status Report

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 2 July 2010

By SpaceRef Editor
July 2, 2010
Filed under , , ,

:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Jul 02 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 183 Issued at 2200Z on 02 Jul 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 01/2100Z
to 02/2100Z: Solar activity was very low during the past 24 hours.
Region 1084 (S20W06) produced a B1 flare at 01/2054Z.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain
very low throughout the forecast period (03-05 July).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 01/2100Z to 02/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled with isolated active
periods at mid and high latitudes. The greater than 2 MeV electron
flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the past 24
hours.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with a slight chance for an
isolated active period on day 1 (03 July). Mostly quiet conditions
are expected for days 2 and 3 (04-05 July) as the effects from the
recurrent coronal hole high speed stream subside.
III. Event Probabilities 03 Jul-05 Jul
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 02 Jul 073
Predicted 03 Jul-05 Jul 073/074/074
90 Day Mean 02 Jul 075
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 01 Jul 008/012
Estimated Afr/Ap 02 Jul 008/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 03 Jul-05 Jul 006/007-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Jul-05 Jul
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/05/05
Minor storm 05/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/05/05
Minor storm 10/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01

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