Status Report

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 2 Feb 2010

By SpaceRef Editor
February 2, 2010
Filed under , , ,

:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Feb 02 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 033 Issued at 2200Z on 02 Feb 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 01/2100Z
to 02/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed
within the last 24 hours. Region 1041 rotated off the sun within the
last 24 hours. Region 1043 (N25W05) decayed to an alpha
classification. There was a CME observed off the west limb at
01/1945Z.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain
very low with only a slight chance for a C-class flare.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 01/2100Z to 02/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet.
III. Event Probabilities 03 Feb-05 Feb
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 02 Feb 075
Predicted 03 Feb-05 Feb 075/078/080
90 Day Mean 02 Feb 077
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 01 Feb 007/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 02 Feb 007/006
Predicted Afr/Ap 03 Feb-05 Feb 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Feb-05 Feb
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01

SpaceRef staff editor.