- Status Report
- Jan 26, 2023
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 15 Oct 2007
Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Issued: 2007 Oct 15 2200 UTC
Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 288 Issued at 2200Z on 15 Oct 2007
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 14/2100Z to 15/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. There are no spots visible on the solar disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 14/2100Z to 15/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet for 16 October. Expect unsettled conditions with isolated active periods for 17-18 October due to a recurrent coronal hole.
III. Event Probabilities 16 Oct-18 Oct
- Class M 01/01/01
- Class X 01/01/01
- Proton 01/01/01
- PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
- Observed 15 Oct 067
- Predicted 16 Oct-18 Oct 067/067/067
- 90 Day Mean 15 Oct 068
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
- Observed Afr/Ap 14 Oct 003/005
- Estimated Afr/Ap 15 Oct 003/005
- Predicted Afr/Ap 16 Oct-18 Oct 005/005-008/010-008/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 16 Oct-18 Oct
A. Middle Latitudes
- Active 05/10/10
- Minor storm 01/05/05
- Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
- Active 10/15/15
- Minor storm 01/10/10
- Major-severe storm 01/05/05