Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 15 Nov 2008
Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Issued: 2008 Nov 15 2200 UTC
Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 320 Issued at 2200Z on 15 Nov 2008
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 14/2100Z to 15/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. Region 1008 (N32 W65) continues to decay.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low. There is a slight chance of a C-class flare from region Region 1008.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 14/2100Z to 15/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet.
III. Event Probabilities 16 Nov-18 Nov
- Class M 01/01/01
- Class X 01/01/01
- Proton 01/01/01
- PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
- Observed 15 Nov 068
- Predicted 16 Nov-18 Nov 068/068/068
- 90 Day Mean 15 Nov 067
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
- Observed Afr/Ap 14 Nov 001/001
- Estimated Afr/Ap 15 Nov 005/005
- Predicted Afr/Ap 16 Nov-18 Nov 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 16 Nov-18 Nov
A. Middle Latitudes
- Active 05/05/05
- Minor storm 01/01/01
- Major-severe storm 00/00/00
B. High Latitudes
- Active 05/05/05
- Minor storm 01/01/01
- Major-severe storm 00/00/00