Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 15 May 2008
Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Issued: 2008 May 15 2200 UTC
Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 136 Issued at 2200Z on 15 May 2008
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 14/2100Z to 15/2100Z: Solar activity was at very low levels.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain at very low levels.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 14/2100Z to 15/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to remain at quiet levels for the forecast period (16 – 18 May).
III. Event Probabilities 16 May-18 May
- Class M 01/01/01
- Class X 01/01/01
- Proton 01/01/01
- PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
- Observed 15 May 071
- Predicted 16 May-18 May 070/070/070
- 90 Day Mean 15 May 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
- Observed Afr/Ap 14 May 001/003
- Estimated Afr/Ap 15 May 003/005
- Predicted Afr/Ap 16 May-18 May 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 16 May-18 May
A. Middle Latitudes
- Active 10/10/10
- Minor storm 05/05/05
- Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
- Active 10/10/10
- Minor storm 05/05/05
- Major-severe storm 01/01/01