- Status Report
- Jan 28, 2023
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 14 Oct 2007
Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Issued: 2007 Oct 14 2200 UTC
Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 287 Issued at 2200Z on 14 Oct 2007
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 13/2100Z to 14/2100Z: Solar activity was very low.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 13/2100Z to 14/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be predominately quiet for 15-16 October. Quiet to unsettled conditions, with a chance for isolated active periods, are expected for 17 October due to a recurrent coronal hole.
III. Event Probabilities 15 Oct-17 Oct
- Class M 01/01/01
- Class X 01/01/01
- Proton 01/01/01
- PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
- Observed 14 Oct 067
- Predicted 15 Oct-17 Oct 068/068/068
- 90 Day Mean 14 Oct 068
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
- Observed Afr/Ap 13 Oct 002/002
- Estimated Afr/Ap 14 Oct 005/005
- Predicted Afr/Ap 15 Oct-17 Oct 005/005-005/005-008/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 15 Oct-17 Oct
A. Middle Latitudes
- Active 05/05/15
- Minor storm 01/01/10
- Major-severe storm 01/01/05
B. High Latitudes
- Active 10/10/25
- Minor storm 01/01/15
- Major-severe storm 01/01/10