Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 14 Nov 2009

:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2009 Nov 14 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 318 Issued at 2200Z on 14 Nov 2009
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 13/2100Z
to 14/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. Old Region 1029 rotated
onto the visible disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 13/2100Z to 14/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was predominantly quiet. An isolated unsettled
period was observed at mid-latitudes between 14/0900-1200Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominantly quiet for the next three days (15-17
November).
III. Event Probabilities 15 Nov-17 Nov
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 14 Nov 075
Predicted 15 Nov-17 Nov 075/075/077
90 Day Mean 14 Nov 072
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 13 Nov 002/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 14 Nov 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 15 Nov-17 Nov 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 15 Nov-17 Nov
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01