Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 14 Mar 2006

Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Issued: 2006 Mar 14 2200 UTC
Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 073 Issued at 2200Z on 14 Mar 2006

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 13/2100Z to 14/2100Z: Solar activity continues at very low levels. Several low B-class flares were observed from newly numbered Region 860 (S03E50). New Region 859 (S07W79) was also numbered today.

IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to continue at very low levels. Occasional B-class flares are expected from Region 860.

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 13/2100Z to 14/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was quiet.

IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet with isolated unsettled periods.

III. Event Probabilities 15 Mar-17 Mar

• Class M 01/01/01
• Class X 01/01/01
• Proton 01/01/01
• PCAF green

IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

• Observed 14 Mar 074
• Predicted 15 Mar-17 Mar 075/075/075
• 90 Day Mean 14 Mar 081

V. Geomagnetic A Indices

• Observed Afr/Ap 13 Mar 002/003
• Estimated Afr/Ap 14 Mar 003/008
• Predicted Afr/Ap 15 Mar-17 Mar 005/008-005/005-005/005

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 15 Mar-17 Mar A. Middle Latitudes

• Active 15/10/10
• Minor storm 01/01/01
• Major-severe storm 01/01/01

B. High Latitudes

• Active 20/15/15
• Minor storm 05/01/01
• Major-severe storm 01/01/01