Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 14 Jan 2006

Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Issued: 2006 Jan 14 2200 UTC
Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 014 Issued at 2200Z on 14 Jan 2006
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 13/2100Z to 14/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 13/2100Z to 14/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III. Event Probabilities 15 Jan-17 Jan
- Class M 01/01/01
- Class X 01/01/01
- Proton 01/01/01
- PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
- Observed 14 Jan 077
- Predicted 15 Jan-17 Jan 080/080/080
- 90 Day Mean 14 Jan 085
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
- Observed Afr/Ap 13 Jan 004/002
- Estimated Afr/Ap 14 Jan 005/003
- Predicted Afr/Ap 15 Jan-17 Jan 007/008-010/015-008/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 15 Jan-17 Jan
A. Middle Latitudes
- Active 15/25/20
- Minor storm 05/15/10
- Major-severe storm 01/10/05
B. High Latitudes
- Active 20/35/20
- Minor storm 10/20/10
- Major-severe storm 05/10/05