Status Report

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 14 Jan 2006

By SpaceRef Editor
January 15, 2006
Filed under , , ,
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 14 Jan 2006
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Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Issued: 2006 Jan 14 2200 UTC
Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 014 Issued at 2200Z on 14 Jan 2006

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 13/2100Z to 14/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No new regions were numbered today.

IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low.

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 13/2100Z to 14/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was quiet.

IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled.

III. Event Probabilities 15 Jan-17 Jan

  • Class M 01/01/01
  • Class X 01/01/01
  • Proton 01/01/01
  • PCAF green

IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

  • Observed 14 Jan 077
  • Predicted 15 Jan-17 Jan 080/080/080
  • 90 Day Mean 14 Jan 085

V. Geomagnetic A Indices

  • Observed Afr/Ap 13 Jan 004/002
  • Estimated Afr/Ap 14 Jan 005/003
  • Predicted Afr/Ap 15 Jan-17 Jan 007/008-010/015-008/008

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 15 Jan-17 Jan

A. Middle Latitudes

  • Active 15/25/20
  • Minor storm 05/15/10
  • Major-severe storm 01/10/05

B. High Latitudes

  • Active 20/35/20
  • Minor storm 10/20/10
  • Major-severe storm 05/10/05

SpaceRef staff editor.