Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 14 Aug 2009

:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2009 Aug 14 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 226 Issued at 2200Z on 14 Aug 2009
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  13/2100Z
to 14/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. No flares were detected.
The visible disk remained spotless.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 13/2100Z to 14/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet levels.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at quiet levels throughout the forecast period (15 –
17 August).
III.  Event Probabilities 15 Aug-17 Aug
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           14 Aug 068
Predicted   15 Aug-17 Aug  067/067/067
90 Day Mean        14 Aug 069
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 13 Aug  003/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 14 Aug  002/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 15 Aug-17 Aug  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 15 Aug-17 Aug
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01