Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 13 Nov 2008
Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Issued: 2008 Nov 13 2200 UTC
Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 318 Issued at 2200Z on 13 Nov 2008
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 12/2100Z to 13/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. Region 1008 (N33W38) appears quiet and stable.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low during the forecast period. There is a slight chance of a C- class flare from Region 1008.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 12/2100Z to 13/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels in the past 24 hours.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet with isolated unsettled conditions possible during the forecast period.
III. Event Probabilities 14 Nov-16 Nov
- Class M 01/01/01
- Class X 01/01/01
- Proton 01/01/01
- PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
- Observed 13 Nov ???
- Predicted 14 Nov-16 Nov 070/070/068
- 90 Day Mean 13 Nov 068
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
- Observed Afr/Ap 12 Nov 004/002
- Estimated Afr/Ap 13 Nov 005/005
- Predicted Afr/Ap 14 Nov-16 Nov 005/005-007/008-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 14 Nov-16 Nov
A. Middle Latitudes
- Active 01/01/01
- Minor storm 01/01/01
- Major-severe storm 00/00/00
B. High Latitudes
- Active 01/01/01
- Minor storm 01/01/01
- Major-severe storm 00/00/00
