Status Report

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 12 Nov 2009

By SpaceRef Editor
November 12, 2009
Filed under , , ,

:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2009 Nov 12 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 316 Issued at 2200Z on 12 Nov 2009
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 11/2100Z
to 12/2100Z: Solar activity has been very low for the past 24 hours.
Region 1030 (N23W92) was classified as an Axx-alpha group with one
spot. No flares were observed.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low on day one (13 November) and very low to low for day two and day
three (14-15 November). On day two, old Region 1029 is expected to
rotate back on the visible disk.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 11/2100Z to 12/2100Z:
The geomagnetic filed has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain at quiet levels for the next three days (13-15
November).
III. Event Probabilities 13 Nov-15 Nov
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 12 Nov 073
Predicted 13 Nov-15 Nov 073/074/075
90 Day Mean 12 Nov 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 11 Nov 000/001
Estimated Afr/Ap 12 Nov 001/001
Predicted Afr/Ap 13 Nov-15 Nov 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 13 Nov-15 Nov
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01

SpaceRef staff editor.