Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 11 Nov 2009

:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2009 Nov 11 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 315 Issued at 2200Z on 11 Nov 2009
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 10/2100Z
to 11/2100Z: Solar activity was very low for the past 24 hours.
Region 1030 (N24W79) is now an Axx-alpha group with 1 spot. No
flares have been observed.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain
very low for the next two days (12-13 November). On day three, 14
November, old Region 1029 is expected to rotate back onto the
visible disk with a slight chance of increased activity.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 10/2100Z to 11/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field has been quiet for the past 24 hours.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain quiet for the next three days (12-14 November).
III. Event Probabilities 12 Nov-14 Nov
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 11 Nov 072
Predicted 12 Nov-14 Nov 072/072/073
90 Day Mean 11 Nov 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 10 Nov 000/001
Estimated Afr/Ap 11 Nov 001/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 12 Nov-14 Nov 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 12 Nov-14 Nov
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01