Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 11 Nov 2005

Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force. Updated 2005 Nov 11 2204 UTC

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 315 Issued at 2200Z on 11 Nov 2005

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 10/2100Z to 11/2100Z: Solar activity has been very low.

IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low.

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 10/2100Z to 11/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels.

IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at predominately quiet levels.

III. Event Probabilities 12 Nov-14 Nov

• Class M 01/01/01
• Class X 01/01/01
• Proton 01/01/01
• PCAF green

IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

• Observed 11 Nov 079
• Predicted 12 Nov-14 Nov 080/080/080
• 90 Day Mean 11 Nov 084

V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 10 Nov 001/002

• Estimated Afr/Ap 11 Nov 003/006
• Predicted Afr/Ap 12 Nov-14 Nov 005/008-005/005-005/005

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 12 Nov-14 Nov

A. Middle Latitudes

• Active 10/10/10
• Minor storm 05/05/05
• Major-severe storm 01/01/01

B. High Latitudes

• Active 15/10/10
• Minor storm 05/05/05
• Major-severe storm 01/01/01