Status Report

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 11 Jan 2006

By SpaceRef Editor
January 12, 2006
Filed under , , ,
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 11 Jan 2006
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Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Issued: 2006 Jan 11 2200 UTC
Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 011 Issued at 2200Z on 11 Jan 2006

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 10/2100Z to 11/2100Z: Solar activity has been very low, with no flares observed during the period.

IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low.

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 10/2100Z to 11/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been quiet.

IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet for the next three days (12-14 Jan).

III. Event Probabilities 12 Jan-14 Jan

  • Class M 01/01/01
  • Class X 01/01/01
  • Proton 01/01/01
  • PCAF green

IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

  • Observed 11 Jan 077
  • Predicted 12 Jan-14 Jan 078/078/078
  • 90 Day Mean 11 Jan 084

V. Geomagnetic A Indices

  • Observed Afr/Ap 10 Jan 002/001
  • Estimated Afr/Ap 11 Jan 002/002
  • Predicted Afr/Ap 12 Jan-14 Jan 005/005-005/005-005/005

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 12 Jan-14 Jan

A. Middle Latitudes

  • Active 15/15/15
  • Minor storm 05/05/05
  • Major-severe storm 01/01/01

B. High Latitudes

  • Active 20/20/20
  • Minor storm 10/10/10
  • Major-severe storm 01/01/01

SpaceRef staff editor.