Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 10 November 2010

:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Nov 10 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 314 Issued at 2200Z on 10 Nov 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 09/2100Z
to 10/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past
24 hours. New Region 1123 (S23E16) was numbered today and produced
the biggest event of the period, a B9/Sf X-ray flare at 10/1629UTC.
New Region 1124 (N14E38) was also numbered today but has remained
quiet.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be at
very low to low levels for the next three days (11-13 November).
C-class events are likely from Region 1123.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 09/2100Z to 10/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet levels for the next three days (11-13
November)
III. Event Probabilities 11 Nov-13 Nov
Class M 10/10/10
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 10 Nov 086
Predicted 11 Nov-13 Nov 086/086/085
90 Day Mean 10 Nov 082
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 09 Nov 001/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 10 Nov 001/003
Predicted Afr/Ap 11 Nov-13 Nov 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 11 Nov-13 Nov
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/10
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/10/15
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01