Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 10 Feb 2006

Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Issued: 2006 Feb 10 2200 UTC
Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 041 Issued at 2200Z on 10 Feb 2006

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 09/2100Z to 10/2100Z: Solar activity was very low.

IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain very low.

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 09/2100Z to 10/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was quiet.

IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled.

III. Event Probabilities 11 Feb-13 Feb

• Class M 01/01/01
• Class X 01/01/01
• Proton 01/01/01
• PCAF green

IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

• Observed 10 Feb 075
• Predicted 11 Feb-13 Feb 080/080/085
• 90 Day Mean 10 Feb 087

V. Geomagnetic A Indices

• Observed Afr/Ap 09 Feb 002/002
• Estimated Afr/Ap 10 Feb 002/003
• Predicted Afr/Ap 11 Feb-13 Feb 005/005-008/010-008/007

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 11 Feb-13 Feb

A. Middle Latitudes

• Active 15/20/20
• Minor storm 05/10/10
• Major-severe storm 01/01/01

B. High Latitudes

• Active 15/25/20
• Minor storm 05/15/10
• Major-severe storm 01/05/01