Status Report

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 10 Aug 2009

By SpaceRef Editor
August 10, 2009
Filed under , , ,

:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2009 Aug 10 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 222 Issued at 2200Z on 10 Aug 2009
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  09/2100Z
to 10/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  No flares occurred during
the past 24 hours.  The visible disk was spotless.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 09/2100Z to 10/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for the next three days (11-13 August).
III.  Event Probabilities 11 Aug-13 Aug
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           10 Aug 067
Predicted   11 Aug-13 Aug  067/067/067
90 Day Mean        10 Aug 069
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 09 Aug  006/008
Estimated Afr/Ap 10 Aug  003/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 11 Aug-13 Aug  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 11 Aug-13 Aug
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                10/10/10
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01

SpaceRef staff editor.