Status Report

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 1 Feb 2010

By SpaceRef Editor
February 1, 2010
Filed under , , ,

:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Feb 01 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 032 Issued at 2200Z on 01 Feb 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 31/2100Z
to 01/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. Region 1043 (N25E10)
remains a beta magnetic classification and produced one B3 event
during the period at 02/0553Z.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low with a slight chance for an isolated C-class flare.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 31/2100Z to 01/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for the next three days (02-04 February).
III. Event Probabilities 02 Feb-04 Feb
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 01 Feb 075
Predicted 02 Feb-04 Feb 078/080/080
90 Day Mean 01 Feb 077
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 31 Jan 003/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 01 Feb 003/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 02 Feb-04 Feb 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 02 Feb-04 Feb
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01

SpaceRef staff editor.