Status Report

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 1 Feb 2009

By SpaceRef Editor
February 1, 2009
Filed under , , ,

Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Issued: 2009 Feb 01 2200 UTC
Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 032 Issued at 2200Z on 01 Feb 2009

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 31/2100Z to 01/2100Z: Solar activity was very low with no flares observed. The visible disk remained spotless.

IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low.

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 31/2100Z to 01/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was quiet.

IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet for the next three days (02 – 04 February).

III. Event Probabilities 02 Feb-04 Feb

  • Class M 01/01/01
  • Class X 01/01/01
  • Proton 01/01/01
  • PCAF green

IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

  • Observed 01 Feb 070
  • Predicted 02 Feb-04 Feb 070/070/070
  • 90 Day Mean 01 Feb 069

V. Geomagnetic A Indices

  • Observed Afr/Ap 31 Jan 004/007
  • Estimated Afr/Ap 01 Feb 003/005
  • Predicted Afr/Ap 02 Feb-04 Feb 005/005-005/005-005/005

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 02 Feb-04 Feb

A. Middle Latitudes

  • Active 01/01/01
  • Minor storm 01/01/01
  • Major-severe storm 01/01/01

B. High Latitudes

  • Active 05/05/05
  • Minor storm 01/01/01
  • Major-severe storm 01/01/01

SpaceRef staff editor.