Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 09 Jan 2006

Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Issued: 2006 Jan 09 2200 UTC
Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 009 Issued at 2200Z on 09 Jan 2006

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 08/2100Z to 09/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed during the past 24 hours.

IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low for the next three days (10-12 January).

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 08/2100Z to 09/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was quiet.

IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet for the next three days (10-12 January).

III. Event Probabilities 10 Jan-12 Jan

• Class M 01/01/01
• Class X 01/01/01
• Proton 01/01/01
• PCAF green

IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

• Observed 09 Jan 078
• Predicted 10 Jan-12 Jan 078/078/078
• 90 Day Mean 09 Jan 085

V. Geomagnetic A Indices

• Observed Afr/Ap 08 Jan 005/004
• Estimated Afr/Ap 09 Jan 005/003
• Predicted Afr/Ap 10 Jan-12 Jan 005/005-005/005-005/007

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 10 Jan-12 Jan A. Middle Latitudes

• Active 15/15/15
• Minor storm 05/05/05
• Major-severe storm 01/01/01

B. High Latitudes

• Active 20/20/20
• Minor storm 10/10/10
• Major-severe storm 01/01/01