Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 08 Mar 2009

Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Issued: 2009 Mar 08 2200 UTC
Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 067 Issued at 2200Z on 08 Mar 2009

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 07/2100Z to 08/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed. Region 1014 (S01W27) is spotless today.

IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low.

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 07/2100Z to 08/2100Z: Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet to unsettled levels.

IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at mostly quiet levels during the forecast period (09 – 11 March).

III. Event Probabilities 09 Mar-11 Mar

• Class M 01/01/01
• Class X 01/01/01
• Proton 01/01/01
• PCAF Green

IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

• Observed 08 Mar 069
• Predicted 09 Mar-11 Mar 070/070/070
• 90 Day Mean 08 Mar 070

V. Geomagnetic A Indices

• Observed Afr/Ap 07 Mar 000/001
• Estimated Afr/Ap 08 Mar 005/005
• Predicted Afr/Ap 09 Mar-11 Mar 005/005-005/005-005/005

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 Mar-11 Mar

A. Middle Latitudes

• Active 05/05/05
• Minor storm 01/01/01
• Major-severe storm 01/01/01

B. High Latitudes

• Active 10/10/10
• Minor storm 01/01/01
• Major-severe storm 01/01/01