Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 08 Mar 2006

Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Issued: 2006 Mar 08 2200 UTC
Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 067 Issued at 2200Z on 08 Mar 2006

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 07/2100Z to 08/2100Z: Solar activity has been very low.

IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain very low.

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 07/2100Z to 08/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was quiet.

IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled for the next three days. Isolated periods of active conditions are possible due to a favorably positioned coronal hole.

III. Event Probabilities 09 Mar-11 Mar

• Class M 01/01/01
• Class X 01/01/01
• Proton 01/01/01
• PCAF green

IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

• Observed 08 Mar 072
• Predicted 09 Mar-11 Mar 072/072/072
• 90 Day Mean 08 Mar 082

V. Geomagnetic A Indices

• Observed Afr/Ap 07 Mar 006/012
• Estimated Afr/Ap 08 Mar 005/005
• Predicted Afr/Ap 09 Mar-11 Mar 012/015-012/015-010/012

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 Mar-11 Mar A. Middle Latitudes

• Active 25/25/20
• Minor storm 15/15/10
• Major-severe storm 10/10/05

B. High Latitudes

• Active 35/35/25
• Minor storm 20/20/15
• Major-severe storm 10/10/05