Status Report

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 08 Feb 2009

By SpaceRef Editor
February 8, 2009
Filed under , , ,

Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Issued: 2009 Feb 08 2200 UTC
Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 039 Issued at 2200Z on 08 Feb 2009

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 07/2100Z to 08/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed during the past 24 hours. The visible disk was spotless.

IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low.

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 07/2100Z to 08/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was quiet.

IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be predominantly quiet for the next three days (9-11 February).

III. Event Probabilities 09 Feb-11 Feb

  • Class M 01/01/01
  • Class X 01/01/01
  • Proton 01/01/01
  • PCAF green

IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

  • Observed 08 Feb 071
  • Predicted 09 Feb-11 Feb 070/070/070
  • 90 Day Mean 08 Feb 069

V. Geomagnetic A Indices

  • Observed Afr/Ap 07 Feb 001/003
  • Estimated Afr/Ap 08 Feb 001/005
  • Predicted Afr/Ap 09 Feb-11 Feb 005/007-005/005-005/005

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 Feb-11 Feb

A. Middle Latitudes

  • Active 10/05/01
  • Minor storm 01/01/01
  • Major-severe storm 01/01/01

B. High Latitudes

  • Active 15/10/05
  • Minor storm 01/01/01
  • Major-severe storm 01/01/01

SpaceRef staff editor.