Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 07 Oct 2006
Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Issued: 2006 Oct 07 2200 UTC
Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 07 Oct 2006
SDF Number 280 Issued at 2200Z on 07 Oct 2006
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 06/2100Z to 07/2100Z: Solar activity was very low.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 06/2100Z to 07/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was high.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III. Event Probabilities 08 Oct-10 Oct
- Class M 01/01/01
- Class X 01/01/01
- Proton 01/01/01
- PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
- Observed 07 Oct 077
- Predicted 08 Oct-10 Oct 075/075/075
- 90 Day Mean 07 Oct 077
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
- Observed Afr/Ap 06 Oct 002/003
- Estimated Afr/Ap 07 Oct 005/005
- Predicted Afr/Ap 08 Oct-10 Oct 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 Oct-10 Oct A. Middle Latitudes
- Active 10/10/10
- Minor storm 05/05/05
- Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
- Active 15/15/15
- Minor storm 05/05/05
- Major-severe storm 01/01/01