Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 07 Nov 2007

Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Issued: 2007 Nov 07 2200 UTC
Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 311 Issued at 2200Z on 07 Nov 2007

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 06/2100Z to 07/2100Z: Solar activity was at very low levels. Region 973

IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain at very low levels.

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 06/2100Z to 07/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.

IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (08 November). Quiet conditions are expected on days two and three (09 and 10 November).

III. Event Probabilities 08 Nov-10 Nov

• Class M 01/01/01
• Class X 01/01/01
• Proton 01/01/01
• PCAF Green

IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

• Observed 07 Nov 068
• Predicted 08 Nov-10 Nov 068/068/067
• 90 Day Mean 07 Nov 068

V. Geomagnetic A Indices

• Observed Afr/Ap 06 Nov 000/001
• Estimated Afr/Ap 07 Nov 001/005
• Predicted Afr/Ap 08 Nov-10 Nov 005/008-005/005-005/005

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 Nov-10 Nov

A. Middle Latitudes

• Active 10/10/05
• Minor storm 01/01/01
• Major-severe storm 01/01/01

B. High Latitudes

• Active 15/10/10
• Minor storm 05/05/05
• Major-severe storm 01/01/01